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August 2017: Country Risk Update

Welcome to the latest issue of D&B's Country Insight Update.

Into H2 2017, we continue to forecast stronger world growth for the year at 2.8%, up from 2.3% in 2016 and the strongest performance since 2011. However, over the past month we have noticed a change to trends in the major economies, with the US data indicating a weakening of growth as the year progresses, while the prospects for the eurozone, Japan and China are improving. We now forecast US growth to come in at 2.0% in 2017, up from 1.6% in 2016, while the eurozone will edge up from 1.7% to 1.8%, and Japan from 1.0% to 1.3%; but China will slow from 6.7% to 6.3%.

The weaker outlook for the US has raised market concerns about the timing of the next Federal Reserve interest rate change. In June US interest rates were raised for a second time in 2017, with the Fed signalling one further hike this year. In addition, it indicated that it is liable to start unwinding its bloated balance sheet by year-end. While we are maintaining our forecast in line with the Fed, further delays in timing – out to December, as we expect – could hold off a return of volatility in global capital and currency markets, in turn maintaining business confidence until late Q4 at least.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

D&B Country Insight Snapshots

Designed with the help of our customers these reports build on the key areas assessed by 'D&B's Country Insight Model' and deliver a perfect balance between mitigating risk exposure and providing insight into new opportunities.

Greece

The economy is likely to have expanded further in Q2 but downside risks remain.

 

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Japan

Japan signs a major free-trade agreement with the EU.

 

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Mexico

The central bank tightens monetary policy as robust inflation persists.

 

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To learn more about how these improvements have been designed to meet your needs when trading overseas, please use the contact details below.

Looking For Different Countries?

D&B Country Insight Services provides analysis on over 130 countries worldwide and its products are available for purchase online by D&B subscribers.

If you wish to order reports using your D&B subscription please click on the link and select the country/region in which you are registered as a D&B subscriber.

Non-D&B subscribers wishing to order reports please contact Customer Services at your local Bisnode D&B Office.

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