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Country Risk Rating Alert - September 2018
07 syys 2018
D&B’s Country Risk Indicator provides a comparative, cross-border assessment of the risk of doing business in a country and encapsulates the risk that country-wide factors pose to the predictability of export payments and investment returns over a time horizon of two years.
Dun & Bradstreet’s Country Insight Snapshot Reports provide greater visibility of potential upcoming outlook trend changes for each country. Any changes to the outlook trend can be further explored in the headlines and key developments section of the reports.
This is a powerful refinement and – alongside the Country Risk Ratings – provides our customers with even greater visibility of the current and future situations across 132 countries.
Shown below are our Risk Rating Changes recently published in the latest edition of our International Risk & Payment Review Journal.
What You Need To Know:
Which Countries have been Upgraded
Risk level has improved:
| Iceland |
Dun & Bradstreet upgrades Iceland's country risk rating on the back of ongoing economic improvements, illustrated by a return to healthy real GDP growth. |
| Japan |
Dun & Bradstreet upgrades Japan's country risk rating after record public company profits were reported and GDP growth resumed in Q2. |
| Kazakhstan |
Dun & Bradstreet upgrades Kazakhstan's country risk rating on the back of ongoing economic improvements, illustrated by a return to healthy real GDP growth. |
Which Countries have been Downgraded
Risk level has deteriorated
| Iran |
Dun & Bradstreet downgrades Iran's country risk rating as US sanctions are imposed, further undermining the worsening economic position and raising social tensions. |
| Nicaragua |
Dun & Bradstreet downgrades Nicaragua's country risk rating as the sociopolitical crisis intensifies, with the government continuing to repress protesters, and little prospect of a peaceful resolution. |
| Tunisia |
Dun & Bradstreet downgrades Tunisia’s country risk rating, owing to the challenging economic situation and its socio-political implications. |
| Turkey |
An elevated FX risk continues, with the lira being hit by an almost perfect storm, affecting transfer risk and the short-term economic outlook. |
Outlook Trend Change:
|
Argentina |
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Dun & Bradstreet downgrades its rating outlook for Argentina as economic activity contracts in April, with agricultural output hit by the country's worst drought in 30 years. |
| Cambodia |  |
Dun & Bradstreet upgrades its rating outlook for Cambodia after the election result consolidates short-term political stability and boosts the economic outlook. |
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Croatia |
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While growth in 2018 will be respectable at 2.7%, a worsening external environment will cause the economy to slow over the remainder of the forecast period. |
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El Salvador |
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Private consumption, fuelled by robust remittance inflows and low inflation, will continue to support growth, although downside risks to the outlook prevail. |
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Improving |
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Stable |
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Deteriorating |