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Welcome to the latest issue of D&B's Country Insight Update.
We are forecasting global growth to again come in at 3.1% in 2018 (the same as 2017), before cooling to 3.0% in 2019, a level around which it will remain until 2022. However, the short-term risks are on the downside as global liquidity becomes more restricted, as political and security risks remain elevated, and as well-documented, escalating trade wars threaten to curtail trade and investment flows (despite positive steps in negotiations on NAFTA).
A string of emerging economies is particularly vulnerable to a combination of the strong dollar, rising interest rates and capital outflows, with neither Chinese nor advanced economy demand likely to prove vitally supportive. To the obvious cases of distress among Turkey, Argentina and Angola (the latter requested IMF assistance in August), could in the next few quarters be added India, Indonesia and the Philippines. Brazil and Russia are also only emerging into shallow recoveries, and face further potential shocks.
This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.
Designed with the help of our customers these reports build on the key areas assessed by 'D&B's Country Insight Model' and deliver a perfect balance between mitigating risk exposure and providing insight into new opportunities.
Second-quarter real GDP grows faster than originally estimated.
The supply environment deteriorates following both a typhoon and earthquake.
Growing uncertainty clouds the business outlook.
To learn more about how these improvements have been designed to meet your needs when trading overseas, please use the contact details below.
D&B Country Insight Services provides analysis on over 130 countries worldwide and its products are available for purchase online by D&B subscribers.
If you wish to order reports using your D&B subscription please click on the link and select the country/region in which you are registered as a D&B subscriber.
Non-D&B subscribers wishing to order reports please contact Customer Services at your local Bisnode D&B Office.